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Feb 17, 2026
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SHORT
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"The revenues from all these companies are basically going to get back in and reinvested in the mega caps... I guarantee you that a lot of people are getting rid of Salesforce because they've just built their own internal tools." AI drastically lowers the barrier to entry for software creation. Companies will stop paying premium subscriptions for "System of Record" software (Salesforce, Atlassian, Intuit, Adobe, Workday) when they can build bespoke internal solutions for a fraction of the cost using AI. This leads to a structural collapse in B2B SaaS revenue. Short legacy B2B SaaS providers on bounces. AI adoption slows down, or these legacy companies successfully pivot to becoming essential AI platforms themselves. |
1000x Podcast
AI Capex Meets SaaS Apocalypse, 18-Month Bear...
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Feb 17, 2026
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SHORT
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"Hype's trading as much volume as Coinbase now... Coinbase is just imploding." Decentralized exchanges like Hyperliquid are eating Coinbase's market share in volume, yet trade at a fraction of the valuation. As on-chain trading becomes superior, Coinbase's centralized dominance erodes. Short Coinbase (or pair trade: Long HYPE / Short COIN). Regulatory crackdowns on DeFi force users back to compliant centralized exchanges. |
1000x Podcast
AI Capex Meets SaaS Apocalypse, 18-Month Bear...
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Feb 17, 2026
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LONG
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"This is the dot com implosion moment where your pets.com goes to zero, but everything else ends up going up... things like Morpho and things like Uniswap... things like Hyperliquid that are generating real capital." The crypto market is bifurcating. Speculative assets with no revenue are entering a deep bear market. However, protocols that generate actual fees and have product-market fit (Hyperliquid, Uniswap, Aerodrome) are currently being dragged down by the broader market beta but represent the "Amazon" opportunities of this cycle. Long high-quality DeFi protocols with real revenue. A prolonged "Crypto Winter" (9-18 months) drags all assets down regardless of fundamentals. |
1000x Podcast
AI Capex Meets SaaS Apocalypse, 18-Month Bear...
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Feb 17, 2026
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LONG
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"The revenues from all these companies are basically going to get back in and reinvested in the mega caps that can actually create them internally. And so this is like the best trade of all time." The money saved by corporations cancelling SaaS subscriptions (Trade #1) flows directly to the Hyperscalers providing the AI compute and models (Google, Meta, Amazon, Microsoft). Furthermore, these companies are "vertically integrated" (like Exxon in oil), meaning they can absorb their own Capex oversupply through internal utility, unlike standalone data center renters. Long US Big Tech / Hyperscalers as the ultimate beneficiaries of the "SaaS Apocalypse." Regulatory antitrust action or a massive glut in compute that outpaces even internal demand. |
1000x Podcast
AI Capex Meets SaaS Apocalypse, 18-Month Bear...
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Feb 17, 2026
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LONG
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"Hyperliquid is trading as much volume as Coinbase now... Uniswap are getting bought up by large institutions... these things are actually generating real revenues." This is the "dot-com implosion moment" where 99% of projects die (Pets.com), but the real businesses (Amazon) survive. Protocols generating actual cash flow and volume are being dragged down by the broader crypto bear market, creating a deep value opportunity. Long DeFi protocols with real revenue/volume (Uniswap, Hyperliquid, Aerodrome). Regulatory crackdowns on DeFi interfaces or a prolonged 18-month "crypto winter" that suppresses all assets regardless of quality. |
1000x Podcast
Bitcoin Is Either Going To Zero Or A Million...
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Feb 17, 2026
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LONG
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"The revenues that were going to those companies [SaaS] are going to be absorbed into savings from Google... profit go up." Large tech companies are vertically integrated "Exxon Mobiles of compute." They have the capital to build internal software replacements using AI, cutting out third-party SaaS vendors. This reduces OpEx and increases margins for the Hyperscalers, making them the ultimate beneficiaries of the AI productivity boom. Long Mega Cap Tech as they capture the value previously leaked to SaaS vendors. Regulatory breakup risks or a failure of AI to deliver actual coding productivity gains. |
1000x Podcast
Bitcoin Is Either Going To Zero Or A Million...
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Feb 17, 2026
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SHORT
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"In the next three years, I guarantee you that a lot of people are getting rid of Salesforce because they've just built their own internal tools." The "SaaS Apocalypse." AI allows companies to build bespoke "System of Record" tools in-house rather than paying expensive per-seat licensing fees. This creates a secular downtrend for B2B SaaS companies that rely on high switching costs that AI is now eroding. Short legacy SaaS providers. (Tactical note: Do not short in the hole; wait for 15-20% rallies/bounces to enter shorts). Institutional inertia; companies may be slower to switch off legacy systems than anticipated. |
1000x Podcast
Bitcoin Is Either Going To Zero Or A Million...
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Feb 17, 2026
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SHORT
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"Hyperliquid is trading as much volume as Coinbase now... Coinbase is just imploding." Decentralized exchanges (like Hyperliquid) are eating Coinbase's market share in volume, yet trade at a fraction of the valuation. As on-chain trading becomes superior, the centralized incumbent (Coinbase) loses its moat. Short Coinbase as a hedge against Long DeFi. Regulatory moat protects Coinbase; institutional flows (ETFs) continue to favor Coinbase custody. |
1000x Podcast
Bitcoin Is Either Going To Zero Or A Million...
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Feb 17, 2026
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LONG
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"My take is that there is value at like 60 to 64k per BTC... maybe we get down to 52K at which case you really can back up the truck." Bitcoin is currently in a liquidity air-gap. While momentum is down, the fundamental value zone is 60-64k. The "Quantum FUD" is noise because the chain will simply fork to solve it, preserving value for active holders. Accumulate Bitcoin in the low 60s; aggressive buy at 52k. Global liquidity crunch or "Crypto Winter" lasts 18 months (Mike Ippolito thesis). |
1000x Podcast
Bitcoin Is Either Going To Zero Or A Million...
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Feb 12, 2026
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LONG
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Avi states, "Capital concentration is the name of the game... Mag 7... going to outperform all other tech companies." While skeptics cite high Capex as a negative, this spending builds an insurmountable moat. The massive productivity gains and infrastructure ownership (data centers) will accrue astronomical capital to these incumbents before any regulatory or AGI-level disruption occurs. Long the incumbents. The "underperformance" due to Capex fears has already played out. Regulatory breakup or a faster-than-expected shift to AGI that breaks the current corporate model. |
1000x Podcast
What Does AI Mean For Your Future?...
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Feb 12, 2026
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SHORT
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Avi says, "If you get a pop for memes that's free money. You just short the [__] out of that." The market regime has shifted fundamentally. We are in a "reality sets in" phase where assets without revenue or utility are repricing to zero. Any rally in speculative assets is simply exit liquidity, not a new bull run. Sell rips / Short rallies in speculative tokens. A sudden return of "mania" retail liquidity (low probability according to speakers). |
1000x Podcast
What Does AI Mean For Your Future?...
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Feb 12, 2026
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LONG
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Avi identifies a "geopolitical mega trend" and notes "Uranium... is going to be very critical to powering the next stage of energy production." The convergence of AI (massive energy demand) and Geopolitics (US isolationism/supply chain security) creates a bottleneck for power and critical minerals. Nuclear (Uranium) and domestic sourcing of Rare Earths are the only viable solutions to power data centers independent of foreign reliance. Long Uranium and Rare Earth miners. Regulatory hurdles for new nuclear plants or environmental pushback on mining. |
1000x Podcast
What Does AI Mean For Your Future?...
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Feb 03, 2026
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LONG
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Bitcoin retraced from highs to the $74k-$78k range. Avi states, "This is what you wait for... the risk/reward on this trade is great." The $74k level represents a critical support zone (previous "original buy zone"). The market is currently in a "range" structure; buying at the bottom of the range ($74k) with a stop loss just below allows for a high R/R trade targeting a bounce to $90k-$92k. Buy spot or long perps in the $74k-$78k zone. A sustained break below $74k invalidates the range thesis and signals a deeper bear market. |
1000x Podcast
Is BTC A Buy, Metals Crash, Hyperliquid RWAs,...
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Feb 03, 2026
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AVOID
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"ETH really got absolutely nuked on high volume." Unlike Bitcoin (which has a clear support structure at $74k) or Solana (defending $100), Ethereum is showing relative weakness and technical breakdown without clear buyer interest. Capital is better deployed in BTC (safety) or HYPE (growth). An unexpected rotation back into L1s could squeeze shorts. |
1000x Podcast
Is BTC A Buy, Metals Crash, Hyperliquid RWAs,...
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Feb 02, 2026
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AVOID
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Ethereum "got absolutely nuked on high volume" and broke key levels. Unlike Solana (defending $100) or Bitcoin (at long-term support), ETH shows no relative strength or clean support structure. The high-volume sell-off indicates institutional exit or capitulation without a clear floor. Focus capital on BTC or SOL instead. An unexpected rotation back into ETH if the "value" proposition resurfaces. |
1000x Podcast
Metals Crash & Bitcoin Breaks $80k...
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Feb 02, 2026
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LONG
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Bitcoin dropped 40% from highs, piercing the $74k level before bouncing to $78k. Volume on the selling drives is decreasing, signaling seller exhaustion. The 40% drawdown flushes out "tourist" leverage. The $74k-$77k zone represents a high-time-frame support level where risk/reward flips heavily in favor of long-term allocators. The "disgusting" chart scares retail, which is usually a buy signal. Accumulate in the $74k-$77k zone. A sustained break below $74k invalidates the range support; further macro "indigestion" from tariffs. |
1000x Podcast
Metals Crash & Bitcoin Breaks $80k...
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Jan 27, 2026
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LONG
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Avi states that unlike Silver, assets like Rare Earths (REMX), Copper, and Uranium have genuine industrial and national security demand. He explicitly mentions the US will likely increase investment in domestic mining in the next 6-12 months. In a "fractured, multipolar world," nations must secure their own supply chains for energy and defense. This creates a structural supply deficit for these specific commodities that does not exist for speculative metals like Silver. LONG. These are "buy the dip" assets because they are supported by a multi-decade secular trend of deglobalization. A global recession could dampen industrial demand for Copper specifically. |
1000x Podcast
When Will Metals Top?...
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Jan 27, 2026
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AVOID
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Avi notes Silver is up nearly 300% and trading like a crypto memecoin, driven by retail panic rather than central bank buying (unlike Gold). Jonah notes that CTAs are "max long" and will dump aggressively once the trend breaks. When an asset moves vertically due to retail FOMO and algorithmic trend-following, it creates a "blow-off top." Once the price dips below key moving averages (50-day/100-day), CTAs will flip from long to short, causing a catastrophic cascade. AVOID buying here. Look to SHORT only after momentum breaks and price crosses below the 50-day moving average. "Irrational exuberance" can last longer than solvency; shorting a parabolic move before the confirmed breakdown is dangerous. |
1000x Podcast
When Will Metals Top?...
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Jan 27, 2026
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WATCH
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Avi describes the Bitcoin chart as "the ugliest chart I've ever seen," noting it is languishing below 90k and failing to break out despite the Gold rally. Gold profits are *not* rotating into Bitcoin because the buyer bases are different (Central Banks/Boomers vs. Speculators). Without a narrative catalyst or a flush to reset leverage (potentially below 80k), capital is flowing elsewhere. WATCH. Wait for a flush or a reclaim of momentum. Currently in "no man's land." If Bitcoin is viewed purely as a risk-on asset, a stock market correction could drag it down further. |
1000x Podcast
When Will Metals Top?...
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Jan 27, 2026
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LONG
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Avi notes that "humans will always commit crime" and need a place to store/move illicit value, explicitly naming Monero (XMR) and ZCash (ZEC). As geopolitical instability rises and governments weaponize the banking system (seizing assets), the utility value of privacy coins—which act as digital bearer assets outside the surveillance state—increases fundamentally. LONG. A hedge against total surveillance and banking censorship. Delistings from major centralized exchanges (Binance/Coinbase) due to regulatory pressure. |
1000x Podcast
When Will Metals Top?...
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Jan 27, 2026
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LONG
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Avi argues "Crypto is dead" as a sector, but specific fintech-adjacent protocols like Hyperliquid are generating massive revenue and have worked through supply overhangs. As the market matures, speculative "governance tokens" will die, and value will accrue solely to protocols that function like equities (generating cash flow/revenue). LONG. Focus on revenue-generating infrastructure rather than narrative plays. Regulatory crackdowns on DeFi protocols that act like unregistered securities. |
1000x Podcast
When Will Metals Top?...
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